US macro data just dropped 🚨
The picture is mixed.
Average hourly earnings came in weaker at 0.1%, below expectations showing slowing wage pressure
Retail sales were soft overall with headline sales flat, while core retail sales surprised slightly to the upside
Non-farm employment beat forecasts at 64K but remains well below the previous reading, pointing to a cooling labor market
Unemployment ticked up to 4.6% higher than both forecast and prior
Overall, growth is slowing, inflation pressure from wages is easing and the labor market continues to soften
A setup the Fed will be watching closely.
