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Theme #3: Reach of Stablecoins to Grow in Wake of GENIUS Act Relevant crypto assets: ETH, TRX, BNB, SOL, XPL, LINK Stablecoins had their breakout moment in 2025: outstanding supply reached $300 billion and monthly transactions averaged $1.1 trillion per month over the six months ending in November[5], the U.S. Congress passed the GENIUS Act, and a wave of institutional capital poured into the industry (Exhibit 10). In 2026 we expect to see the practical results: stablecoins integrated into cross-border payments services, stablecoins as collateral on derivatives exchanges, stablecoins on corporate balance sheets, and stablecoins as an alternative to credit cards in online consumer payments. Continued growth in the popularity of prediction markets may also drive new demand for stablecoins. Higher stablecoin volumes should benefit the blockchains that record these transactions (e.g., ETH, TRX, BNB, and SOL, among many others), as well as a variety of supporting infrastructure (e.g., LINK) and decentralized finance (DeFi) applications (see Theme #7).

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2026 Digital Asset Outlook: Dawn...

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Exhibit 4: Higher fundraising potentially a sign of institutional confidence New capital entering the crypto ecosystem is likely to come primarily through spot ETPs, in our view. Since the Bitcoin ETPs launched in the U.S. in January 2024, global crypto ETPs have seen net inflows of $87 billion (Exhibit 5). Despite the early success of these products, the process of incorporating crypto into mainstream portfolios is still in early innings. Grayscale estimates that less than 0.5% of U.S. advised wealth is allocated to the crypto asset class.[2] This number should grow as more platforms complete their due diligence, build out capital market assumptions, and incorporate crypto into model portfolios. Beyond advised wealth, early movers have already adopted crypto ETPs in institutional portfolios, including Harvard Management Company and Mubadala (one of Abu Dhabi’s sovereign wealth funds).[3] We expect this list to grow significantly in 2026.$BTC $ETH $XRP #BinancehodlerSOMI

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Second, regulatory clarity is driving institutional investment into public blockchain technology. It can be easy to forget, but until this year the U.S. government had outstanding investigations and/or lawsuits with many leading firms in the crypto industry, including Coinbase, Ripple, Binance, Robinhood, Consensys, Uniswap, and OpenSea. Even today, exchanges and other crypto intermediaries operate without clear spot-market guidelines. This ship has slowly been turning. In 2023, Grayscale won its lawsuit against the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission), which paved the way for spot crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs). In 2024, Bitcoin and Ether spot ETPs came to market. In 2025, Congress passed the GENIUS Act on stablecoins and regulators shifted their approach toward crypto, working with the industry to provide clear guidance while continuing to focus on consumer protection and financial stability. In 2026, Grayscale expects Congress to pass bipartisan crypto market structure legislation, which will likely cement blockchain-based finance in U.S. capital markets and facilitate continued institutional investment (Exhibit 4).$SOL $XRP $BNB #BinanceHODLerMorpho

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