Market Update | Macro Pressure Building

The Bank of Japan’s expected interest rate hike on the 18–19th continues to weigh on markets. Liquidity tightening concerns are rising fast. Add to that MicroStrategy’s 8.3% drop yesterday, and it triggered panic selling in crypto. As a result, BTC flushed to the 85,000 area overnight.

Looking at the rate hike cycle that started in 2024, the pattern is clear:

March 2024 hike → BTC corrected ~23%

July 2024 hike → BTC corrected ~26%

January 2025 hike → BTC dropped over 30%

Each hike has led to a deeper correction. With year-end liquidity tightening and Christmas season effects, the post-hike outlook remains weak. The recent rebound to 94,500 is still very close to the 95,000 rolling short zone, making a full year-end rollover unlikely. I’m maintaining positions, targeting a potential move below 80,000 in Q1 next year.

ZEC Update $ZEC C has entered a clear delayed correction phase (补跌行情), currently consolidating around the 400 mid-range. Last week’s weekly candle printed a long upper wick on declining volume, signaling weak rebound strength. Under BOJ tightening pressure, a higher high this week looks very unlikely.

Short orders remain placed above 450. Whether they get filled is secondary. Structurally, the trend points to a high probability of a breakdown below 300 to form new lows. For now, patience is the strategy. Let the trend do the work.

Stay disciplined. Risk management first.#BinanceHerYerde #BinanceSquareTalks #Follow_Like_Comment