1. On December 16, the asset management company Bitwise released its top ten predictions for the cryptocurrency market in 2026: 01. Bitcoin will break the four-year cycle and reach a new all-time high; 02. Bitcoin's volatility will be lower than Nvidia's; 03. ETFs will purchase over 100% of the new supply of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, with institutional demand accelerating; 04. The performance of cryptocurrency stocks will outperform tech stocks; 05. The open contract volume of Polymarket will hit a new all-time high, surpassing levels seen during the 2024 U.S. elections; 06. Stablecoins will be blamed for undermining the stability of emerging market currencies; 07. The asset management scale of on-chain vaults (also known as 'ETF 2') will double; 08. Ethereum and Solana will reach new all-time highs (if the CLARITY Act is passed); 09. Half of the Ivy League's endowment funds will invest in cryptocurrencies; 10. The U.S. will launch over 100 cryptocurrency-linked ETFs. An additional prediction is that the correlation between Bitcoin and stocks will decrease.
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The top ten predictions for the cryptocurrency market in 2025, published at the end of 2024, are as follows: 1: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana will reach all-time highs, with Bitcoin trading above $200,000. (Partially achieved, only BTC all-time high) 2: The inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs in 2025 will exceed that of 2024. (Not achieved) 3: Coinbase will surpass Charles Schwab to become the most valuable brokerage in the world, with its stock price breaking $700 per share. (Not achieved, highest stock price $444.645) 4: 2025 will be the year of crypto IPOs, with at least five crypto unicorns listed in the United States. (Achieved) 5: Tokens issued by AI agents will lead to a larger meme coin craze than in 2024. (Partially achieved, AI meme coin craze is significant, but overall scale did not surpass the end of 2024) 6: The number of countries holding Bitcoin will double. (Achieved, from about 9-10 countries to 20+ countries) 7: Coinbase will enter the S&P 500 index, and MicroStrategy will enter the Nasdaq 100 index, adding cryptocurrency exposure to (almost) every American investor's portfolio. (Achieved) 8: The U.S. Department of Labor will relax guidance on cryptocurrency in 401(k) plans, allowing hundreds of billions of dollars to flow into crypto assets. (Partially achieved, scale did not reach hundreds of billions) 9: With the long-awaited stablecoin legislation passed in the U.S., the market size of stablecoin assets will double to $400 billion. (Partially achieved, legislation passed, market cap increased to about $310 billion at its peak) 10: As Wall Street's acceptance of cryptocurrencies deepens, the value of real-world asset (RWA) tokenization will exceed $50 billion. (Not achieved, total market cap of RWA tokens is about $24-30 billion) An additional prediction for 2024 is: By 2029, Bitcoin will surpass an $18 trillion gold market, with a trading price exceeding $1 million per coin.$BTC