As a female analyst who has been in the crypto industry for 5 years, I've seen too many people get rich overnight and then go to zero in an instant. Today I'll tell the truth: there is no savior in the crypto world, only the game of cutting and being cut. Here are 12 lessons, each one a summary of the tuition I've paid, hoping to help you avoid detours.
1. Don't panic during the big drop in the daytime, foreigners might be bottom fishing at night?
During the daytime crash in the domestic market, many people panic and sell off, but European and American traders often enter the market to pick up chips at night (UTC afternoon). The logic is simple: liquidity is weak during the Asian session, making fluctuations easier to amplify; European and American institutions take advantage of the low prices to accumulate. But don't rush in mindlessly—only coins with solid fundamentals are worth betting on for a 'time zone rebound'.
2. Don’t chase after a big rise during the day; beware of night market crashes.
If the price of the coin inexplicably rises by 20%+ during the day, especially driven by community calls, it is very likely to fall back at night. Brokers often use the routine: raising prices to attract FOMO emotions, and unloading when liquidity is exhausted at night. Remember: don't chase after a surge; it's better to miss out than to become a bag holder.
3. The spike is a signal; depth determines direction.
The depth of the spike reflects the extreme emotions of bulls and bears. The deeper the spike, the stronger the reversal signal:
Deep bottom spike (like a -30% quick recovery): it may be a washout by the main force, you can build positions in batches.
Long upper shadow (like a +50% drop): profit-taking exits, quickly reduce positions.
4. Good news landing is bad news; early layout is the winner.
Before major meetings or product launches, the price of the coin is often preheated and raised, but the moment the news is announced, it often peaks. The market speculates on expectations rather than facts. For example, a 40% rise before an L2 network upgrade and a 20% drop after. Strategy: take profits in batches before good news is announced; don't be greedy for the last bite.
5. When the community is frenzied, calmly short.
When all groups are praising the same coin, and KOL posts ‘ten times potential,’ you should be wary: this may be a signal for a joint harvesting machine to start. For example, when a certain MEME coin is being chased by thousands, the project side quietly unlocks and sells. Reverse indicator: community heat is positively correlated with the coin price peak; at this time, trying to short with light positions is safer than chasing the rise.
6. Sudden movements in obscure coins, test with small positions.
Those coins that no one discusses suddenly have consecutive small bullish candles with increased volume, which may be a precursor to a dark horse starting. The accumulation phase by brokers is often silent. Use a 5% position to test the waters, increase positions after breaking key levels, and set a stop-loss at 10%—you can afford the loss, but the potential gain can double.
7. Heavy positions will be monitored; exchanges specifically target large positions.
When you hold a large position in a certain coin, especially with high leverage, it is easy to be flagged by the exchange's big data. The main force will deliberately sweep the liquidation line to harvest liquidity. Solution: operate with large funds in separate accounts, never fully invested, to avoid becoming a 'fat sheep on the liquidation list.'
8. Does the market change after a stop-loss? That’s the main force clearing leverage.
Just after a short position stops loss, the price of the coin drops? This is not metaphysics, but a common technique used by the main force: first blowing up leveraged shorts to reduce downward resistance. Response: stop-loss must be set, but avoid being too close to key levels, or consider using hedging (like options) instead of stop-loss.
9. Does the rebound stop before escaping? The main force doesn't want you to run.
When the price of the coin rises near the cost line and suddenly falls back, it is because a large number of trapped positions are concentrated here, and the main force will not easily let retail investors escape. Countermeasure: increase positions to lower costs, and when close to the cost line, first reduce half the position to retain initiative.
10. Is there a surge after taking profit? Light vehicles are easier to pull up.
As soon as you sell, it soars because the main force needs to clear floating positions. After retail investors collectively take profits, the selling pressure decreases sharply, making the cost of pulling up lower. Mindset adjustment: don’t regret taking profits; earn money within your understanding—leave the remaining profits to others and also leave the risks to them.
11. Danger during excitement; sharp declines specifically target emotional highs.
When you can't help but think 'this time is different' or 'if I don't rush in now, it will be too late,' it is often a signal of a peak. Brokers use FOMO emotions to unload. Calm method: force yourself to pause operations during excitement, review historical candlestick patterns—do similar shapes ultimately lead to a mess?
12. Is the whole market soaring when you have no money? The bait is most tempting.
When you see the whole market soaring while missing out, it’s easiest to FOMO into the market to pick up the pieces. The truth: the market lacks opportunities, but what it lacks is capital and patience. Control your hands: accumulate chips in a bear market, sell in batches in a bull market, and don't be a hero at the peak.
Core of survival: against human nature and discipline.
The crypto world is like a dark forest; zero trust and continuous verification are iron laws. To survive:
Position management: never fully invested, keep 50% cash to buy the dip during a sharp decline.
Emotional isolation: watch the market less to avoid being led by volatility.
Inverse operation: be greedy when the market is fearful; be fearful when the market is greedy.
The last heartfelt statement: there are no standard answers in the crypto world, only probabilistic games. Engrave the rules into your instincts to earn fair money in an unfair game. Follow A Ke to learn more first-hand information and precise points in the crypto world; becoming your navigation in the crypto space, learning is your greatest wealth!#加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向 $ETH
