I just took a glance at the big coin's market, it's quite interesting. This trend is exhausting, but it also hides opportunities. Let me say a few straightforward things.
First, look at this chart in front of you. The time is 2025-12-17 at 8 PM, this K-line opened at 86939 and closed at 86979, almost flat, with an increase of 0.05%, a fluctuation of about forty points, like a weaving machine. But beneath this calmness, something is brewing. Looking at the highs and lows, the lowest is 86939, the highest is 86993, the total amplitude is only 0.06%, indicating that both bulls and bears are temporarily taking a break, holding back their strength.
But the key is not here. Looking forward, the price did indeed spike near 87100 and dropped around 86201. What does this indicate? There is testing on the upside and support on the downside. Currently, stabilizing around 86900 is not weak. Looking at the moving averages, MA7 is 86940.4 and MA30 is 86880.3, showing a clear bullish arrangement. The short-term line is above the long-term line, and the trend structure hasn't collapsed. This is my technical confidence in being bullish.
In terms of trading volume, it requires careful consideration. The chart shows that the Volume is 16.96, and the estimated trading volume is 72.69. This estimated volume is several times larger than the actual volume, indicating that there is potential trading willingness in the market at this position, but it has not yet erupted. The volume moving averages in the sub-chart below indicate that MA5 is 32.8 and MA10 is 130.3. The most recent volume bar (16.96) has noticeably shrunk, representing a healthy adjustment signal rather than panic selling.
So my view is very clear: the trend structure is not broken, the short-term moving averages are supporting it, and the volume during the pullback is shrinking, overall leaning towards a technical pullback in a bullish control. But why not rush directly? Because there is resistance near the previous highs above, which requires some accumulation of strength, or waiting for a news catalyst.
Next, let me put it simply and tell you what to do.
For aggressive brothers, now is the opportunity. When the price is close to MA7 or even briefly dips below it, it is the time to lightly position long orders. Remember, it must be a light position, and place the stop-loss below the key support, such as near MA30 (a little below 86880). If it breaks below, just back off. The target can first look at the previous high above 87100, and if it breaks through, then look for higher levels.
For conservative friends, I completely understand; this narrow range fluctuation may wear you down. Your strategy is to observe and wait for a clear signal. What signal? Either a significant volume breakout above 87100 and stabilization, at which point you can follow up on the pullback. Or, a deeper pullback again, but with obvious volume shrinkage and stabilization in the 86500-86800 range, forming a double bottom or W-like structure, which would also be a better entry point. Regardless, your plan must include stop-loss and take-profit; don’t rely on feelings.
Finally, let’s talk about something serious. The market is always right; don’t argue with it. This market may seem boring, but it is precisely a test of patience and discipline. Don’t shout bull when it rises and bear when it falls; stick to your own system and plan. Position management is crucial; preserve your capital, and you will have the qualification to keep playing at the table.
That's all for now. The market changes quickly; let's operate cautiously together and stay steady. We can win.
