Prominent investment management firm VanEck officially announced its withdrawal from the 2026 forecasting game. In a tweet published by the company earlier today, it began with traditional buildup by promising 10 predictions, but ended with the strong punchline: "No predictions for 2026. Good luck out there!"
VanEck's predictions for 2025 were filled with extreme optimism, forecasting a "super cycle" ending with massive gains in the fourth quarter. The firm predicted that the price of Bitcoin would reach $180,000 at the peak of the cycle during 2025. Bitcoin showed strength earlier in the year, but spent the fourth quarter's rise in correction, currently trading near $86,000, which is less than half of the expected target.
The forecasts for Ethereum ($6000) and Solana ($500) relied on a massive influx of institutional capital and increased use of decentralized applications, but that did not materialize to the expected extent. Ethereum struggles to maintain the $3000 level, far from the expected doubling to $6000, while Solana trades near $130.
The biggest mistake was in the timing, as Van Eyk explicitly called for a "mid-term peak in the first quarter" (which actually happened to some extent), followed by "new highs in the fourth quarter." Instead, the fourth quarter of 2025 brought a massive correction. Therefore, it is not surprising that Van Eyk refuses to issue new forecasts, as releasing another set of overly optimistic targets could further damage her credibility, given the gap between those forecasts and the current charts in mid-December 2025.
