đš Only â$BTC to $0â Left? The Japan Rate Hike Madness đš
The "Japan Rate Hike" FUD is back, and it feels like weâre running out of bearish ideas. Weâve seen the red arrows and the old crash screenshots, but the final narrativeâBTC to zeroâjust doesnât hold up.
I called this hike two days ago, and the move matched almost perfectly. Before the panic spreads further, letâs look at the facts:
đ Context > History
People are posting historical crashes as "proof," but those didn't happen because of Japan alone. Back then, BTC was overheatedâleverage was crowded and funding was bloated. Japan was merely the trigger.
đ A Different Setup
Today is different. BTC has already corrected from ~$126k to $80k. That move flushed the reckless leverage. We are no longer in the fragile market critics are trying to compare this to.
âď¸Â Fear vs. Distribution
The BoJ hike caused a quick dip from ~$89k to ~$85k, but notice the lack of follow-through. That was fear pricing, not a real distribution dump.
Deeper insights:
The Real Trigger:Â The upcoming CPI data matters more than a small BoJ move. If CPI comes in cool, US rate expectations will override Japan's fear.
The Math:Â A "27% crash" from here puts us at ~$63k. After a -36% drop already, that would require massive ETF outflows and a fresh macro shock.
Realistic Targets: If panic spikes, look for support at $83kâ$80k. An extreme wick could hit the high $70s, but anything lower requires new damage, not recycled fear.
When the only narrative left is âBTC to $0,â it says more about sentiment than price. Stay objective.
Logic over emotion, always.
#BTCčľ°ĺżĺć #CPI #CryptoAnalysis #tradingStrategy
