🚨 2026 Market Alert: Historical patterns are flashing caution signs ahead of midterm election years 📉🇺🇸. Data going back to 1926 shows the S&P 500 typically experiences an average pullback of about 18% during the 12 months leading into midterms.
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Looking at the past six decades makes the picture even clearer. The mildest decline during that window was around 7%, while the steepest drop reached nearly 42% 🤯📊. Volatility tends to rise as uncertainty builds around policy, interest rates, and government spending.
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Markets often find their footing after the midterm elections once political clarity improves and risk sentiment stabilizes 📈✅. The period before voting, however, has historically been marked by pressure, nervous positioning, and sharp swings that test investor confidence 👀⚠️.
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