DO NOT PANIC investigate gather everything you can

The bear market in crypto usually lasts between 12 and 18 months after the peak of the previous bull cycle.

Start of the Last Bear Cycle

The peak of the previous bull cycle (the last major rally) was reached at the end of 2021 (November/December).

Start of the Strong Drop: It is considered that the bear cycle began in early 2022.

\text{Bull Peak} \approx \text{November } 2021

\text{Start Bear Market} \approx \text{January } 2022

Estimated Duration

If we take the historical average of 12-18 months from January 2022, the end of the bear market phase (or the beginning of deep accumulation) should have been around mid or late 2023. Since we are at the end of 2025, if the pattern repeats with the halving of 2024, we technically should already be in the post-halving accumulation phase, preparing for the next major bull rally (which is what many expect for 2026).

If the market continues to go down now, it could be a deep correction within an extended accumulation phase, strongly influenced by the global economy.