Goodness, Federal Reserve Governor Waller dropped two 'nuclear bombs' last night, directly flipping the market upside down! Brother Niu helps you understand the core: First, interest rates are now 50-100 basis points above neutral levels, meaning 'it's high enough now, we can lower it'; second, he clearly stated that as long as inflation does not rebound, interest rates can be lowered, and the job market also supports 'steady, not aggressive' - this almost laid bare the interest rate cut roadmap to the market!
As soon as the news came out, the dollar plummeted, and gold and Bitcoin soared in response. The market logic is very straightforward: under the expectation of a shift in liquidity, volatile assets celebrate first. But seasoned players understand that the road to interest rate cuts has always been bumpy, the hotter the expectation, the more one needs a pair of 'calm eyes'.
——And the more such moments occur, the more I think of a phrase: to remain steady is true skill.
Just like what is often said in trading circles, 'Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked.' When the global market jumps up and down with a single word from the Federal Reserve, what is the 'ballast' for our assets? This naturally reminds me of @usddio, which many professional investors have been focusing on lately. In a cycle where volatility becomes the norm, a digital dollar that can traverse cycles, remains anchored to the dollar at a 1:1 ratio, and maintains a transparent and robust mechanism may well be the contemporary interpretation of 'seeing trust through stability.'#USDD以稳见信 It’s not just a technical commitment, but a strategic mindset to cope with macro uncertainty—when the outside world suddenly becomes fervent or panicked, stability in itself is a rare strength.
Waller's remarks essentially released a 'credit signal': what the market has to gamble on now is the rhythm and magnitude of interest rate cuts. What we should consider is perhaps how to hold on to that 'credit cornerstone' which is not easily shaken amid volatility. Next, Brother Niu will help you analyze: under the expectation of interest rate cuts, which assets can really laugh last?
