📈 [A-level killer signal] RSI 96.1! Ethereum reveals 'death divergence,' is a crash imminent?
A highly dangerous 'death number' is flashing crazily on the Ethereum chart—4-hour RSI has soared to a staggering 96.1! This is not only the highest value of the year but, more deadly, it appears in a clearly downward trend, forming a textbook-level 'ultimate top divergence.' Historical data shows that once this extreme signal appears, it is often accompanied by trend acceleration and violent reversals on the order of hundreds of points. Now, this 'sword of Damocles' has fallen—is it the last 'bullish squeeze' before the market drops, or the official starting gun for a catastrophic decline? This A-level report will reveal the upcoming direction and survival strategies.
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🔥 Core alert: The ultimate showdown between trend and indicators
The current market has issued a rare high-certainty (A-level) bearish structural signal. The core contradiction is: the price is in an overall downtrend (daily, 4H, 1H), but the 4-hour RSI has exploded to 96.1, forming an extreme 'bearish divergence'. This usually means the last wave of rebound momentum has been completely exhausted, and the bears are about to regain control of the situation.
🎯 Life and Death Sniping Coordinates: Two price levels you must remember
1. Air Iron Top (Rebound Limit/Short Area): 3031.03 (1-hour core resistance). Any rebound below this level is a structural short opportunity.
2. Abyss Gate (Downward Target): 2790.64 (1H and 4H resonance support). If it breaks below this, it will directly test the ultimate daily line defense at 2719.43.
⚔️ Ultimate Combat Plan: Two high odds sniping schemes
Abandon guessing, only react to key levels. Given the A-level signal, focus on 'shorting on rallies'.
Combat Plan Plan A: Rebound Sniping (Preferred) Plan B: Breakout Pursuit
Core logic: Utilize the weak rebound of the price towards the resistance zone, relying on the top divergence signal of the 4H-RSI 96.1 to conduct high odds short sales. The price directly breaks below the current weak horizontal range, confirming the establishment of a downward continuation pattern, and follows the trend to short.
Sniping/Entry zone 2845 - 2860 area Price effectively breaks below 2820 (confirmed by 15-minute close)
Lifeline (Stop Loss) 2901 (placed above recent structural high) 2870 (placed above the upper edge of the oscillation range)
Harvest targets First stop: 2790 Final stop: 2719 First stop: 2790 Final stop: 2719
Deploy troops Total capital 1-2% Risk exposure Total capital 1-2% Risk exposure
Key odds as high as 1:3.5+ as high as 1:4+
Note: Plan A has a higher odds and certainty composite score and is the main execution plan.
⚠️ Ironclad survival rules under A-level signals
1. Stop loss is oxygen: The stop loss levels in the table are the 'breakpoint' of trading logic. In an environment of increased volatility (high risk), touching them must result in immediate exit without conditions; any hesitation will lead to disaster.
2. Profits must be locked in: When the price smoothly reaches the first target of 2790, immediately close at least 50%, and strictly move the stop loss of the remaining position to the entry price to achieve a 'zero-risk' position. This is your only psychological guarantee to hold your position with peace of mind and capture trend profits.
3. Reject the illusion of 'cheapness': It is strictly prohibited to open positions prematurely outside the planned sniping zones in the table (e.g., around the current price of 2830). A-level signals provide 'position advantage', not permission to 'act at any time'.
4. Breakthrough means surrender: If the price unexpectedly breaks strongly above the 2901 stop loss level, it means the current bearish logic may fail. You must exit and observe, and do not blindly add positions or hold onto them.
🔮 Future projection: Three scenarios and your actions
· Scenario One: Short Feast (High Probability): The price fails to break through the 2860-2900 area, and under the driving force of the 4H-RSI divergence, it turns downwards, breaking the 2790 support with increased volume, accelerating the bottoming process. Your action: Firmly execute Plan A or B.
· Scenario Two: Oscillation Strangulation: The price continues to oscillate widely between 2790-2900, repeatedly washing out stop losses. Your action: Reduce operation frequency, and only test with light positions at the strictest locations (in the table).
· Scenario Three: Bullish Reversal (Low Probability): The price strongly breaks through and stabilizes above 3030, invalidating the 4H top divergence. Your action: Abandon all short positions and fully switch to observation.
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💎 Final Summary
The current market offers an A-level trading opportunity based on extreme data (RSI 96.1) and clear structure (multi-cycle downtrend). This is no longer a noisy guess, but a mathematical question based on probability and odds. What you need is not more analysis, but sniper-like patience and military-like discipline.
Remember: The sharpest blade is waiting. The strongest armor is the stop loss.
