I am Ke Jie, a female trader who has been navigating the cryptocurrency market for many years. Today, I won't talk about empty things, only the truth.
1. Volume is the 'footprint' of the main players.
Behind the market's ups and downs, volume won't lie. If the price spikes but the pullback is slow, it's usually the main players quietly accumulating; while a sudden surge in volume after a sharp rise often signals the beginning of a liquidation. For example, when BTC surged to $60,000 last time, the volume continued to shrink, and I warned my students not to chase—later it dropped 15% within 24 hours. Watching volume is more important than watching price because the flow of funds is already written in the transaction amount.
2. A flash crash is a 'false opportunity, real trap'
Many people rush to buy the dip as soon as they see a rebound after a flash crash, only to find themselves stuck halfway up. Remember: during a decline, the speed is as fast as diving, but the rebound is slow and sluggish, which is definitely the main force selling. For example, when certain altcoins drop 40% in one day and then rebound 10% the next day, many people think it's an opportunity, but then it continues to decline. In such markets, I prefer to stay in cash; I'd rather miss out than gamble with my life.
3. High-level consolidation is more dangerous than a sharp drop
A top with increased volume and a sharp drop is easier to identify risk, but the most deceptive is a high-level low volume consolidation—seemingly stable, yet liquidity is exhausted, and big funds have already exited. For example, last month a certain public chain coin consolidated for a week after positive news, with decreasing volume, and then directly halved. Coins that are high without volume are like red-hot iron blocks, looking bright but scalding to the touch.
4. The bottom is 'waited' for, not 'guessed'
The most taboo thing when buying the dip is impatience! A single spike in volume during a rebound might be a trap, and the true bottom needs repeated confirmation: first low volume oscillation, then a continuous gentle rise in volume, which might indicate the main force building positions. I am used to entering in batches when the second spike in volume occurs; for example, in January this year, when BTC oscillated around $38,000, the volume increased for three consecutive days before I reminded my students to engage.
5. Trading volume is the market's 'emotional diary'
The candlestick only tells you the outcome, but the volume reveals the process. Low volume indicates a quiet market, while high volume represents capital competition—such as a sudden spike in volume, which could be retail investors following the trend, or it could be the main force fishing. I often combine on-chain data: if the price rises but large transfers decrease, it indicates retail impulse; if whale wallets are also moving simultaneously, that's a real signal.
6. Top mentality: dare to stay in cash, dare to buy the dip
In the crypto world, the most counterintuitive thing is not the technology, but the mentality. In a bull market, one must restrain FOMO (fear of missing out), and in a bear market, one must overcome fear. My principle: loss-making positions do not stay overnight, profitable positions set trailing stop-losses; if I make two consecutive wrong trades, I stop, I’d rather have tea than stubbornly hold. Just like the last big drop, when many people were cutting losses, I guided my students to gradually buy at key support levels—not based on predictions, but on discipline.
There are always opportunities in the market, but many people lose due to 'emotional highs'. There was a student who initially always chased after rising prices and sold low, but later strictly followed my stop-loss strategy and multiplied his investment five times in three months. The crypto world is not lacking in smart people, but rather in 'obedient and compliant' fools.
If you are confused now, let me give you a piece of advice: be in cash when others are greedy, and build positions in batches when others are fearful. The market is still brewing, but don’t keep stumbling around in the dark alone. Follow A Ke to learn more first-hand information and crypto knowledge, precise points, and become your navigation in the crypto world; learning is your greatest wealth!#巨鲸动向 #加密市场观察 $ETH
