🪭 The Bank of Japan is considering raising the rate by 25 bps to 0.75% at the December meeting on December 18–19, 2025. This level is close to the highs of around 30 years.

As of December 17, 2025, the baseline scenario on Polymarket is already practically 'priced in': about 98% - for an increase, and the scenario with no changes - about 2%.

If in fact, the picture has consistently repeated itself earlier.

All previous increases negatively affected BTC.

After the rate hike, BTC naturally went into a correction of ~20–30%.

And January is the most telling here: it was the starting point of the decline.📉

BTC

87,779.27

+0.12%

ETH

2,952.35

-0.50%

SOL

123

-1.03%