$BTC $ETH Inflation data "distortion" night, how will the cryptocurrency market break the deadlock? Mig's forward-looking layout strategy

Tonight, the U.S. November CPI data will be released. Due to the previous government shutdown, the collection process was interrupted, and key month-on-month data is generally missing, leading the market consensus to believe its reference value is limited. The year-on-year CPI is expected to rebound slightly to 3.1%, and the core CPI is expected to stabilize at 3.0%, continuing a moderate inflation trend.

For the cryptocurrency market, this "unconventional" data may trigger short-term fluctuations, but its impact is expected to be limited. The real focus has shifted to the complete inflation report in December and its implications for the Federal Reserve's policy shift rhythm in 2024.

The current macro narrative has not changed: the overall downtrend of inflation has been established, the interest rate hike cycle has peaked, and liquidity expectations are gradually turning towards easing.

BTC and mainstream cryptocurrency assets have recently consolidated, waiting for clearer macro signals. In the "data vacuum period" and year-end liquidity structure, the market may continue to oscillate and accumulate.

Investors are advised to maintain position flexibility, ignore noise fluctuations, and focus on the logic of mid-term liquidity improvement.

If the market experiences an emotional pullback after the data is released, it may be an opportunity for staggered layouts.

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