$DOGE $ETH $BTC Cryptocurrency Circle Tonight's Life-and-Death Game: CPI + Japan's Rate Hike Double Explosion!

Just took a breath, the two major bombs in the world will explode tonight—US CPI determines life and death, Japan's rate hike draws blood. The market is already on the edge of a cliff.

1. US CPI: 3% is the lifeline

To be announced tonight at 21:30, expected at 3%. This number is directly linked to the Fed's rate cut expectations:

· If it is below 3%, rate cut expectations will soar, and once the signal of easing is released, BTC may instantly rebound (historical reference: a surge of 7% in 1 hour).

· If it is above 3%, stubborn inflation, a tragic repeat of a 2500 dollar drop in 15 minutes may occur.

2. Japan's rate hike: The hidden pump

Decision tomorrow afternoon, 98% expect a hike to 0.75%. The real bomb is the governor's speech:

· Hawkish (implying another hike next year) → Arbitrage positions collectively close → Liquidity dries up, the cryptocurrency market may fall another 20%-30%.

· Dovish → Short-term rebound is possible, but the trend is hard to change.

Core conclusion:

· In the short term, look at Japan—before the rate hike lands, any hawkish signal may trigger a stampede.

· In the long term, look at the US—only if CPI can fall below 2.8% is it a true signal of trend reversal.

Want to rely on a single event to save the market? Unless there is a major positive for CPI + the Bank of Japan turns dovish, the market will struggle to withstand a unilateral impact.

Let's chat in the comments section and keep an eye on the market! #加密市场观察 #ETH走势分析 #巨鲸动向