🔥2025 Bitcoin Crash! Institutions collectively bet on a year-end target of 150,000 to 200,000, but reality has plummeted from 126,000 by 33%, with a monthly bloodbath of 28% in November. The halving magic spell has failed, the ETF wave has turned into a trickle, and Trump’s policies have become bearish. Who will bear the cost of the shattered bull market dream?🔥
At the beginning of 2025, the entire market was frantically bullish on Bitcoin! Wall Street giants like BlackRock, Fidelity, and Standard Chartered all called for over 150,000, with radicals even shouting 200,000 to 250,000, citing three solid reasons:
1. Halving cycle magic spell: After the halving in April 2024, there must be an explosion within 12-18 months; historically, it has been accurate three times, and 2025 is the "historic window period"!
2. ETF capital flood: With the spot ETF approval, the first-year inflow is expected to exceed 100 billion USD, with pension funds and sovereign funds lining up to enter!
3. Trump’s policy package: Strategic Bitcoin reserves, SEC personnel changes, the end of the regulatory winter, and institutions daring to take bold bets!
The result? Reality delivered a harsh slap! Bitcoin plummeted over 33% from its high of 126,000 at the beginning of October, and November alone saw a crazy drop of 28%, directly tearing apart all optimistic predictions made at the start of the year! The three pillars have all collapsed:
The halving effect lagged and became ineffective, supply contraction did not bring the expected demand; ETF net inflows were far below expectations, with retail investors dominating buying while institutions stood still; policies post-Trump took time to implement, fiscal expansion pushed up inflation, the Fed turned hawkish and reduced rate cuts, and liquidity tightened instead!
This is not an ordinary correction; this is an institutional-level "anti-signal" spectacle! Everyone was bullish at the beginning of the year, but now everyone has flipped; it exposes the market's excessive reliance on narratives while ignoring risks. Brothers, the dreams of 150,000 to 200,000 are shattered, and now even holding 80,000 is precarious! If you're still clinging to the cycle magic spell, wake up, 2025 is not a continuation of the bull market, but a cruel lesson! Will you be the next to crash?
#美国非农数据超预期
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