$BTC

🇯🇵 Bitcoin and the Bank of Japan

Tomorrow, the Bank of Japan's decision on the rate will be announced. The market is pricing in a 98.4% probability of a 25 bps hike.

History has shown BTC's reaction to BOJ decisions twice before:

▪️ July 31, 2024

- BOJ raised the rate to 0.25%.

- Bitcoin fell by 26% over 8 days.

▪️ January 24, 2025

- Rate raised to 0.50%.

- BTC decreased by 25% over 20 days.

🛍 Tomorrow, a rise to 0.75% is expected — the highest since 1995.

Based on past events, it is quite realistic to expect a local market pullback, but there is one important nuance.

📈 Every previous “Japanese dump” of BTC ended with a strong rebound and a new ATH.

That is, in the short term, we may see a continuation of the correction, but globally, there are all chances to recover and aim for new highs.

Starting tomorrow, we will observe whether history repeats itself for the third time 🍿