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Just in: 🇺🇸 S&P 500 closes above 6,909 for the first time in history.
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US energy inflation is accelerating: CPI energy prices jumped +4.2% YoY in November, the fastest pace since February 2023. This marks the 2nd-consecutive acceleration, following a +2.8% YoY increase in September. The surge was driven by fuel oil, electricity, and utility gas services, with prices up +11.3%, +6.9%, and +9.1%, respectively. As a result, the index of average US energy prices is up to 284.2 points, the highest level since May 2024. Energy prices are now +58% above 2020 pandemic levels but remain -14% below the June 2022 all-time high. Energy inflation pressures are building again.
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Breaking: The S&P 500 officially posts its highest close on record, closing at 6,910, now up +43% since the April 2025 bottom. The “Santa Rally” is alive and well.
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Such a divergence has rarely ever been seen in markets: In 2024 and 2025, investors expected implied correlations between individual S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 stocks to fall to the lowest levels in at least 23 years. Low implied correlation means most stocks are expected to move independently rather than rise or fall with the broader market. In other words, even if major indices go up, many individual stocks may not see similar gains. Looking ahead to 2026, the market expects an average S&P 500 single-stock correlation of ~23%, the lowest reading in 23 years. This points to a highly concentrated market, where a small group of mega-cap stocks continues to drive overall performance. The market has never been this concentrated.
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