From a mathematical perspective: Why is the probability of making a comeback with altcoins ten thousand times smaller than with Bitcoin?

First, you need to have a probabilistic mindset: when you buy Bitcoin, you are selecting from 1 survivor; when you buy altcoins, you are betting on a survivor from tens of thousands of cannon fodder.

I know a guy who, at the end of the bull market in 2021, liquidated all his Bitcoin and went all in on a meme coin, shouting "hundred times start," but three months later the price plummeted by 99.9%, and the exchange directly delisted it, leaving no chance to cut losses — this is the mathematical outcome of altcoins.

The most fatal thing in a bear market is not the drop in price, but the liquidity.

Most people think that altcoins can multiply a hundred times, while Bitcoin can at most multiply ten times, and they are purely fooled into believing it.

Bitcoin's risk-reward ratio: the risk is a drop of 50% to 80%, while the reward is a five to ten times increase during a bull market, with a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:5.

Altcoins' risk-reward ratio: the risk is a drop of 90% or even going to zero (risk is infinitely high), while the reward seems to be able to multiply a hundred times, but you must just happen to buy that one in ten thousand survivor, making the actual risk-reward ratio infinitely approach 0:1.

Those who shout "get rich with altcoins" every day might just be the sickle harvesting you,