$LUNC The v3.6.1 hard fork on December 18, 2025, has introduced significant technical stability, but the price action for both $LUNC and LUNA is currently navigating a "sell the news" phase following a massive pre-upgrade rally.

Here is the breakdown of the current market status as of December 19, 2025:

📊 Price Performance Overview

Asset Current Price (Approx.) 24H Change Recent Context

$LUNC $0.000039 - $0.000050 📉 -3.5% to -5% Correcting after a 120% two-week rally.

$LUNA $0.113 - $0.145 📉 -8% to -10%

Sell the News" Effect: Prices for lunc skyrocketed over 116% in the first week of December, peaking around $0.000081 on December 6th as anticipation for the upgrade and legal clarity grew. Following the successful fork on Dec 18, short-term traders are now taking profits.

Legal Impact: The recent 15-year sentencing of Do Kwon (announced Dec 16) has created a complex sentiment. While it provides "closure" for the ecosystem, it initially triggered a sharp sell-off from the December highs.

Technical Support lunc is currently testing critical support at the $0.000038 level. If it holds, analysts point to a potential "Double Bottom" formation that could fuel a rebound toward $0.000060.

On-Chain Health: Despite the price dip, on-chain metrics are bullish. Staking ratios have risen to 12%, and Binance's continued support for the burn mechanism (burning over 75B LUNC to date) provides a long-term floor for the price.

💡 Outlook

The successful v3.6.1 upgrade is a fundamental win, even if the price is currently red. By fixing legacy contracts and upgrading Cosmos interoperability, the chain is now ready for the Market Module Reactivation (expected Q1 2026), which is the next major catalyst for $USTC and $LUNC.

# dyor