【JK. Qiangbi An Plaza Quick News】Second-half macro timeline and BTC dip-buying strategy
Key macro timeline in July
July 2: Release June Non-Farm Payroll data.
July 14: CPI data ➕ the Wosch hearing (focus on policy direction).
July 20: After the World Cup ends, entertainment and safe-haven funds are expected to gradually return to the crypto market.
July 30: FOMC meeting; the market currently broadly expects rates to remain unchanged.
Market logic and expectation rotation
Current situation: The recent downturn is mainly due to the market pricing in expectations of “rate hikes / keeping high interest rates.”
Outlook for the second half: The trading focus is expected to shift to “election expectations,” with the key focus on the Trump midterm election contest between October and November.
Market observation and trading strategy
BTC support: Currently, around $54.9k, BTC’s main fund flow has dense orders placed on the book; the price is likely to probe downward and pull back to that level.
Core strategy: Do not chase blindly. Wait patiently for the “golden dip” opportunity near 5.49W. That will be an excellent time for staggered spot DCA.
Summary: The broader outlook favors the election-driven行情 in the second half. Don’t panic about short-term fluctuations—watch the key level at 5.5W and build your position in batches!
$BTC
#BTC走势分析 #伊朗革命卫队称对科威特巴林发动打击
Key macro timeline in July
July 2: Release June Non-Farm Payroll data.
July 14: CPI data ➕ the Wosch hearing (focus on policy direction).
July 20: After the World Cup ends, entertainment and safe-haven funds are expected to gradually return to the crypto market.
July 30: FOMC meeting; the market currently broadly expects rates to remain unchanged.
Market logic and expectation rotation
Current situation: The recent downturn is mainly due to the market pricing in expectations of “rate hikes / keeping high interest rates.”
Outlook for the second half: The trading focus is expected to shift to “election expectations,” with the key focus on the Trump midterm election contest between October and November.
Market observation and trading strategy
BTC support: Currently, around $54.9k, BTC’s main fund flow has dense orders placed on the book; the price is likely to probe downward and pull back to that level.
Core strategy: Do not chase blindly. Wait patiently for the “golden dip” opportunity near 5.49W. That will be an excellent time for staggered spot DCA.
Summary: The broader outlook favors the election-driven行情 in the second half. Don’t panic about short-term fluctuations—watch the key level at 5.5W and build your position in batches!
$BTC
#BTC走势分析 #伊朗革命卫队称对科威特巴林发动打击