Japan raised interest rates today, and the overall trend is basically in line with expectations.
The sell-off in the US stock market last night actually priced in the impact of the interest rate hike in advance.
Now many people in the market are starting to turn bullish, but one point must be reminded: with Christmas approaching, liquidity will further weaken, and $BTC often does not move too smoothly.
There is a possibility of a technical rebound in the US stock market tonight, and a slight recovery over the weekend cannot be ruled out, but based on past experience, there tends to be more likelihood of a secondary sell-off around Christmas, which should not be overlooked.
The interest rate hike in Japan itself is not scary; the real key lies in whether the BOJ press conference is dovish and whether it releases liquidity signals.
Currently, US stock futures remain the fastest leading indicator responding to BTC.
When trading contracts, several core variables must be monitored simultaneously:
US stock futures
$MSTR
European market trends
NVIDIA
S&P index
VIX
Whether there is a significant drop in leading AI companies
During US stock market holidays, the reaction speed of US stock futures is usually faster than that of BTC, which is a detail that many people easily overlook.
