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Fidelity's Jurrien Timmer Forecasts Quiet 2026 for Bitcoin as Four-Year Cycle Unfolds: Fidelity's global macro strategist, Jurrien Timmer, is still a strong Bitcoin long-term bull but is expecting a tame scenario in 2026. In an analysis post on his personal X account, Timmer identified that markets are currently behaving as usual in accordance with the four-year cycle based on Bitcoin’s halving cycle trends. Following Bitcoin's October 2025 peak over $125,000, Timmer expects markets to continue in their bear market conditions throughout 2026, pegged to find support in the $65,000 to $75,000 levels. This is in contrast to those analysts who think that Bitcoin's adoption into traditional markets could potentially upset historical trends. The importance of Timmer's insights is that even for secular bulls, price movements in the short term can be benign while still being influenced by long-term cycles in the market. #Fidelity
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BlackRock's Spot Bitcoin ETF Records Staggering Inflows Despite Negative Performance: BlackRock's iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), despite being down with a net return of approximately 9.6% for the year, has proven to be one of the strongest-performing ETFs in terms of net inflow of money in 2025. IBIT has garnered more than $25 billion in new money, which makes it the sixth best-performing ETF of 2025 in terms of net inflow, even surpassing major gold ETFs that are performing exceptionally well. The significance of this information is in showing one major trend among these investors. It is that in spite of this weakness in prices, these Bitcoin ETF investors in the spot market are actually showing resilience. The significance of this is in showing support in terms of growth in these investments even when prices are weak. #blackRock
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UK Crypto Rulebook Nears 2027 Start Date: The full market rules will come into effect in October 2027, and the U.K. is set to move outright to a comprehensive framework. Additionally, the FCA is amending the current financial services regulations to include crypto regulations, along with other provisions for market integrity, disclosure, and conduct. The consultation related to this proposal ranges from stable money, the nature of decentralised finance, the nature of trading platforms, the involvement of intermediaries, and staking. Even if the different elements of this proposal are articulated quite clearly, there are several matters that are not so clearly defined with regard to the crossing of borders, stable money, and the regulation of the nature of decentralised finance. The UK learns the best practices of the EU and US models and takes a hybrid approach to applying the established law if the situation requires the application of the established law but to create the appropriate regulation related to the emerging risk of cryptocurrency. Meanwhile, the transition period related to the proposed rule was only 18 months. #BREAKING
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Gold Takes the Debasement Trade in 2025, Beating Bitcoin Even as ETFs Resist: The big winner of the 2025 debasement trade: Gold has gained 65% of value this year, while both gold and Bitcoin had begun the year with gains of about 30% through August. Since then, the value of gold has continued to rise while the value of Bitcoin corrected with a drop of 7% this year and 36% since the record high hit in October. Despite the price weakness in Bitcoin, the trend in ETF flows is a different story altogether. The U.S. Bitcoin ETPs were holding 1.37 million Bitcoin at the October peak and are holding 1.32 million at the current level, suggesting that most selling was not through ETP holders. The Bitcoin ETP flows even topped the gold ETP flows in 2025 levels despite the price correction. In sum, gold had one of its strongest years ever, entrenching its position as a safe-haven asset, and Bitcoin proved its resilience in ETF investments despite market fluctuations. #BTCVSGOLD
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