Recent context

In recent days, XRP has shown mixed behavior. While some headlines highlight occasional drops, the token maintains a key technical support around $1.84–$1.90, resisting downward pressure. Trading volume has increased by more than 28%, reflecting that despite the volatility, there is still active interest in the market.

On the other hand, XRP ETFs in the U.S. have recorded 30 consecutive days of net inflows, accumulating nearly $975 million. This flow contrasts with Bitcoin and Ethereum, which have seen outflows during the same period. Additionally, Ripple has strengthened its institutional presence with agreements such as that of AMINA Bank and the approval of a Ripple National Trust Bank, reinforcing its narrative as global payment infrastructure.

always check its behavior versus the narrative

Current narrative

  • Technical resilience: The support at $1.84 has resisted selling, showing that buyers are still defending the range.

  • Institutional adoption: ETFs and banking agreements point to increasing confidence in XRP as a long-term asset.

  • Competition: Stablecoins and future CBDCs represent a challenge, but Ripple seeks to differentiate itself as a bridge for international liquidity.$XRP

Realistic projection

Looking towards 2026, the most likely scenario for XRP is not an excessive jump, but a gradual expansion:

  • Optimistic scenario: If it maintains institutional inflows and breaks resistances at $2.30–$3.00, it could project towards $5–$7 in the next cycle.

  • Neutral scenario: Consolidation in the range $1.80–$2.50, with a narrative of stability and use in payments.

  • Pessimistic scenario: A break below $1.70 would open space towards $1.40–$1.50, especially if regulation tightens.

Conclusion

Beyond alarming headlines, XRP is experiencing a moment of technical consolidation and institutional narrative. The market recognizes its role in international payments and its appeal for ETFs, although competition and regulation remain risk factors. The most credible projection is moderate growth, with the possibility of reaching new highs if institutional flow is maintained and its alliances are consolidated.$XRP

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