#USChinaDeal #USNonFarmPayrollReport
The market likes to present itself as a rational system, guided by data, models, and probabilities, but in practice, it remains highly sensitive to exogenous narrative shocks. Indicators, graphic structures, and on-chain metrics help map asymmetry and risk, but do not eliminate the impact of emotional flow generated by unexpected events, especially when they come from figures with the ability to alter short-term expectations. The error is not in over-analyzing, but in assuming that price responds only to technical logic. In markets that are still partially immature, like crypto, price is the result of the intersection between fundamentals, liquidity, and narrative. Those who understand this do not abandon the model at the first noise, but adjust their reading knowing that volatility caused by headlines does not invalidate trends — it merely redistributes liquidity between weak and patient hands.
