Now nothing will hold the price of the TRUMP coin at a price of $ 1000 or maybe at $ 5000 in the near future BTC risk of sell-off associated with MicroStrategy — December 31, 2025

Expiration of the Polymarket contract. In the worst-case scenario, this could trigger a forced liquidation of part of its bitcoin assets.

2️⃣ US CPI inflation data — January 13, 2026

A key macroeconomic release that directly shapes Federal Reserve interest rate expectations.

3️⃣ MSCI reclassification for the digital assets treasury (DAT) — January 15, 2026

The risk of excluding companies with high cryptocurrency content from stock indices → potential institutional selling pressure.

4️⃣ Federal Reserve rate decision — January 28, 2026

Any policy changes affect liquidity conditions and risk appetite in the crypto markets.

5️⃣ Introduction of cryptocurrency regulation in Brazil — February 2, 2026

New licensing rules may change market access across Latin America.