Final Matches: According to Google’s prediction model, the chance of a draw after 90 minutes is as high as 32%. Meanwhile, Mexico has a 43% chance of winning, while Ecuador owns a 25% probability of springing an upset.
With the home advantage and very steady form, Mexico is still considered slightly stronger in the race for a spot in the Round of 16. The CONCACAF representative won all three group-stage matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding none.
On the other hand, Ecuador has also shown they are not an easy opponent to beat. The South American side made a statement by defeating Germany 2-1 in their last group match to advance, and they also stand out with disciplined defending and the ability to apply high-pressure play.
Notably, this is forecast to be a low-scoring match. Mexico kept clean sheets in all three group matches, while Ecuador scored only 2 goals in 3 matches but also conceded exactly 2.
Mexico team strength information
Overall form: Won all 6 of their most recent matches across all competitions.
Home form: Won 5, drew 1 in their last 6 matches.
Scoring ability: Scored 20 goals, averaging 1.82 goals per match over 11 matches.
Defensive ability: Conceded only 4 goals, averaging 0.36 goals conceded per match.
Clean sheets: 8 matches.
Ball possession: Averaging 56%.
Attack: Averaging 89 attacking actions and 35 dangerous chances per match.
Discipline: Received 16 yellow cards and 1 red card after 11 matches.
Ecuador team strength information
Overall form: Won 2, drew 3, and lost 1 in their last 6 matches.
Away form: Drew 3, lost 1 in their last 4 matches.
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With the home advantage and very steady form, Mexico is still considered slightly stronger in the race for a spot in the Round of 16. The CONCACAF representative won all three group-stage matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding none.
On the other hand, Ecuador has also shown they are not an easy opponent to beat. The South American side made a statement by defeating Germany 2-1 in their last group match to advance, and they also stand out with disciplined defending and the ability to apply high-pressure play.
Notably, this is forecast to be a low-scoring match. Mexico kept clean sheets in all three group matches, while Ecuador scored only 2 goals in 3 matches but also conceded exactly 2.
Mexico team strength information
Overall form: Won all 6 of their most recent matches across all competitions.
Home form: Won 5, drew 1 in their last 6 matches.
Scoring ability: Scored 20 goals, averaging 1.82 goals per match over 11 matches.
Defensive ability: Conceded only 4 goals, averaging 0.36 goals conceded per match.
Clean sheets: 8 matches.
Ball possession: Averaging 56%.
Attack: Averaging 89 attacking actions and 35 dangerous chances per match.
Discipline: Received 16 yellow cards and 1 red card after 11 matches.
Ecuador team strength information
Overall form: Won 2, drew 3, and lost 1 in their last 6 matches.
Away form: Drew 3, lost 1 in their last 4 matches.
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