Dude, are you still waiting for the BTC peak at the end of 2025?
Wake up, the script has been changed.
The four-year cycle is not "suddenly disappearing," but rather it is rapidly blurring before our eyes.
The latest signal is:
The theoretical peak should be at the end of 2025 → In reality, it may have been brought forward to October 2025.
Theoretically, the bear market bottom should be reached by the end of 2026 → But now it seems the bear market may not arrive on time.
Why?
Because the forces driving BTC have been completely replaced.
Who is controlling the new script for BTC?
▪️ $10,000 → $20,000: Sufficient funds within the industry
▪️ 20,000 → 70,000: Institutional funds take over
▪️ 70,000 → 120,000+: Requires a massive injection of global macro liquidity
in other words:
The pricing power of BTC has been handed over to the Federal Reserve.
And the Federal Reserve in 2026 is preparing for a "creative form of quantitative easing"—
2026: Neither a bull market nor a bear market?
Latest projections:
✅ First half of the year: At least one interest rate cut (employment and consumption are already sounding alarms)
✅ Second half of the year: New chairman takes office, at least two more demotions.
Note that this is not about counting the number of times, but about observing the speed at which the liquidity gates open.
But the contradiction lies in:
The macroeconomic environment in 2026 ≠ the interest rate hike bear market of 2018/2022
However, it is not necessarily a breeding ground for traditional bull markets.
The conclusion is counterintuitive:
2026 may be a chaotic era that is neither bullish nor bearish.
Smart money is already developing "survival strategies in chaos".
When cycles fail and macroeconomics dominates, you will find:
Whales are no longer all in on BTC, but are instead doing two things:
Some positions remain aggressive (betting on the liquidity premium brought about by interest rate cuts).
Part of the portfolio is used to build a "chaos-resistant base"—for example, DUSD (Decentralized USD).
Why DUSD?
Because it solves three "cycle failure dilemmas" simultaneously:
✅ Not dependent on BTC bull and bear markets – price is stable and not strongly tied to any asset.
✅ A "depot" during periods of liquidity black hole – Before interest rate cuts are implemented, DUSD can be temporarily held to await the right opportunity.
✅ Seamless cross-chain transfer – When market conditions are fragmented, switch to any chain at any time to seize opportunities.
Your 2026 configuration list
If the next 18 months are characterized by "chaotic fluctuations," then you need to:
▪️ 30% Aggressive Position: BTC + Potential Altcoins (betting on interest rate cuts and liquidity spillover)
▪️ 40% Stable Base: DUSD-like Assets (for risk management and opportunity capture)
▪️ 30% Mobility Bullet – When the market riots due to macroeconomic data, are you brave enough to pull the trigger?
remember:
In an era of ambiguous cycles, making money doesn't rely on prediction, but on the "elasticity" of asset portfolios.
A soul-searching question:
If 2026 is neither a bull market nor a bear market, what strategy do you plan to use to survive?
The final truth:
When the periodic pattern fails
Ordinary people complain that they "can't understand the market trends".
But the wise have already—
He built his own "periodic air-raid shelter" using DUSD.
Which side are you on?
