### On December 19, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced in a press conference that sales of $1.3 billion had been achieved for the "Trump Gold Card" program. However, this claim faces significant skepticism due to the lack of official verification, with Polymarket estimating an 88-89% probability that the actual sales for this year are zero.
#### Article Details
- Title: Trump Gold Card Sales Claim Contested by Prediction Market
#### Main Claim and Dispute
- Trump announced on December 19, 2025, sales of $1.3 billion for the gold card program, which is presented as part of an immigration program aimed at reducing U.S. national debt through large investment fees in exchange for citizenship or residency.
- This figure is heavily questioned, as there are no confirmed payment data or official verification so far.
- Prediction market Polymarket: gives an 88-89% probability that "sales of the Trump Gold Card this year are zero," with no confirmed sales.
#### Program Background
- The "Trump Gold Card" is an immigration program similar to "citizenship by investment" programs found in other countries, where applicants pay high fees (previous figures mentioned include $1 million or $5 million) for expedited residency or a pathway to citizenship.
- The program relies on traditional cash transactions (fiat) and is not linked to blockchain assets or cryptocurrencies, making verification more complicated.
- There is no historical precedent for achieving sales of this magnitude ($1.3 billion) in just a few days.
#### Statements from Involved Parties
- Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick: Confirmed that only payments verified by official data should be considered real, raising concerns about the program's announcements.
- There are no direct statements in the article from Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) or World Liberty Financial or other parties directly involved.
- Experts point to regulatory and financial complexities that may delay verification, raising issues of transparency and accountability.
#### Reasons for Dispute
- Lack of official verification and confirmed payments.
- Reliance on traditional fiat transactions without blockchain linkage, making tracking difficult.
- The unprecedented speed of the alleged sales, surpassing any similar program.
- Concerns about complexities in regulatory and financial assessments.
#### Conclusion and Implications
The article highlights skepticism about the credibility of the announcement, emphasizing the importance of official verification to confirm the figures. The article does not reach a final judgment on the legitimacy of the program, but it highlights broader concerns regarding transparency in immigration and finance.
Key Quotes:
- Polymarket: "Sales of the Trump Gold Card this year are zero" with an 88-89% probability.
- Howard Lutnick: Confirmed payments based only on data should be considered real.
Important Note: This dispute reflects opinions and estimates up to December 21, 2025, as the Trump administration officially announced the figure in some sources, but without full independent verification. The program is politically and economically controversial, and it is advisable to follow official and multiple sources for any updates. This should not be considered financial or legal advice.