Panda Traders
--
Bearish
🚨 Next Week Could Be Dangerous for Crypto 🚨
Something big just happened in the bond market and most traders are sleeping on it.
Japan’s 10-year bond yield has now broken above the 2008 financial crisis level after the BOJ raised rates to the highest point in almost 30 years 🇯🇵
And here’s the key thing most people miss 👇
When Japan yields rise sharply, crypto doesn’t dump immediately.
It usually happens the following week.
Look at the pattern:
• Jan 2025 BOJ hike → BTC dumped 7% the next week
• Mar 2025 BOJ hike → BTC dumped 10% the next week
• Jul 2025 BOJ hike → BTC crashed 20% the next week
That’s why the coming week matters.
We could see another sharp move down — and that move may mark a local bottom 📉
But don’t confuse “local bottom” with the final bottom.
Unlike past cycles, Bitcoin is still respecting the 4-year cycle structure.
Yes, a bounce can happen.
But a quick new ATH is unlikely.
The real turning point comes only when liquidity returns.
Here’s how it usually plays out 👇
• Rising Japan yields → investors sell risk assets
• Stocks, crypto, even bonds face pressure
• US yields rise further → debt becomes harder to sustain
• When yields rise too far, central banks are forced to act
History shows they never let bond markets break.
What follows?
• Policy reversals
• Liquidity injections
• QE ..just like 2020–2021 🖨️
Short term:
• High yields = pressure on crypto
• Volatility stays elevated
Medium to long term:
• Bond stress forces easing
• Liquidity flows back
• Crypto benefits the most
This is why patience matters.
Full resets create generational opportunities and the smart money is already waiting 🐼
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$SOL
{future}(SOLUSDT)
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrumpTariffs #CPIWatch #WriteToEarnUpgrade #WriteToEarnUpgrade
Something big just happened in the bond market and most traders are sleeping on it.
Japan’s 10-year bond yield has now broken above the 2008 financial crisis level after the BOJ raised rates to the highest point in almost 30 years 🇯🇵
And here’s the key thing most people miss 👇
When Japan yields rise sharply, crypto doesn’t dump immediately.
It usually happens the following week.
Look at the pattern:
• Jan 2025 BOJ hike → BTC dumped 7% the next week
• Mar 2025 BOJ hike → BTC dumped 10% the next week
• Jul 2025 BOJ hike → BTC crashed 20% the next week
That’s why the coming week matters.
We could see another sharp move down — and that move may mark a local bottom 📉
But don’t confuse “local bottom” with the final bottom.
Unlike past cycles, Bitcoin is still respecting the 4-year cycle structure.
Yes, a bounce can happen.
But a quick new ATH is unlikely.
The real turning point comes only when liquidity returns.
Here’s how it usually plays out 👇
• Rising Japan yields → investors sell risk assets
• Stocks, crypto, even bonds face pressure
• US yields rise further → debt becomes harder to sustain
• When yields rise too far, central banks are forced to act
History shows they never let bond markets break.
What follows?
• Policy reversals
• Liquidity injections
• QE ..just like 2020–2021 🖨️
Short term:
• High yields = pressure on crypto
• Volatility stays elevated
Medium to long term:
• Bond stress forces easing
• Liquidity flows back
• Crypto benefits the most
This is why patience matters.
Full resets create generational opportunities and the smart money is already waiting 🐼
$BTC
{future}(BTCUSDT)
$ETH
{future}(ETHUSDT)
$SOL
{future}(SOLUSDT)
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrumpTariffs #CPIWatch #WriteToEarnUpgrade #WriteToEarnUpgrade
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.