Dear friends:
Today let's talk about the certainty and uncertainty of trading. For many people, the biggest issue with trading is not being unable to understand the market, but rather being unable to accept uncertainty. They always want a 100% correct answer, and they want someone to tell them exactly what to do next. But the reality is that the market itself is uncertain.
Real trading is not about eliminating uncertainty, but rather finding advantageous probabilities within it. You don’t need to know whether the market will definitely rise or fall; you just need to know: if it rises, how do I profit; if it falls, how much do I lose; if it remains unchanged, should I participate. Once you have these three things figured out, you have already won more than half the battle.
Many people lose money because they only think about scenarios where they make money, but they never seriously consider the risks. Once the market diverges from their expectations, their mindset collapses immediately, and their actions become distorted. I have previously emphasized that you should first consider the worst-case scenario clearly, and then think about how much you can potentially earn; this is the dividing line between mature traders and gamblers.
You will find that truly stable individuals often do not appear aggressive. They do not go all in every day, nor do they change their views based on a single candlestick. They respect the market, respect cycles, and also respect their own plans. Over the long term, this seemingly conservative approach actually goes the farthest.
Trading is not about being bold, but rather about thinking clearly. Only by accepting uncertainty can one survive long-term in the market; only by adhering to discipline amidst uncertainty can one gradually move toward stable profits #加密市场观察 #巨鲸动向
