🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown:
#Bitcoin has been in a bear market since September, and nothing has changed since then. I said in September that we would not bottom in 2–3 months, not in 4–5 months, no. It will take at least 12–14 months to fully bottom out, with a price target in the 60k region for BTC, which is going to happen. As always, people tend to believe that markets will react or move fast, not understanding the importance of liquidity formation and that’s why time matters in such a price movement. Regarding this, I believe that BTC will see an upside move toward the 97–107k region in the coming weeks. I don’t even believe that any big downside move will happen before February, March 2026. This is why I am saying we will stay in a long sideways range for the next couple of weeks until the final leg down starts. I have been saying this since November, stating that BTC entered a phase of sideways movement, whose entire goal is to create more liquidity on the downside. That’s why it takes time, and this means a couple of months. It’s hard for many people to understand, as many expect fast moves or moves straight to the target, but that’s not how markets work.
$For this reason, I am bullish in the short term and have bought BTC, but my short stays open and is not closed at all. This means the market allows me to operate more flexibly by keeping the short open, which can now act as a perfect hedge, while using capital in reserve to buy more BTC and sell later with a 20% price increase once we reach the target of the 97–107k region. This is the exact plan as of now, and I am expecting a slow rise as well, continued with a lot of manipulation to exhaust as many people as possible. Imagine the following scenario: the same repeat of what we saw in the last 6 months, again for another 12 months. How many will be able to buy the bottom? How many will be psychologically able to buy the bottom in a year? How many will be psychologically defeated? And how many will start FOMO after prices reach a new ATH and beyond, missing the entire move after the bottom was seen? $BTC
