This is the level no one wants to talk about… but history demands it 👇
📉 BTC has tested Realized Price only 3 times in major cycles — and every time marked a TRUE bottom.
🔻 2018 Bear Market:
• Drop: -60%
🔻 COVID Crash:
• Drop: -72%
🔻 2022 Capitulation:
• Drop: -77%
📊 Where are we now?
• Current Realized Price: ~$56,000
• From recent ATH → this implies a ~55% downside risk
🧠 Why this matters:
Realized Price represents the average cost basis of all BTC holders.
When price revisits it, weak hands are flushed, leverage is wiped, and long-term bottoms are formed.
🔥 Key takeaway:
$56K isn’t a prediction — it’s the historical pain zone.
Markets don’t bottom on hope.
They bottom on maximum disbelief.
👀 If BTC starts gravitating toward realized price…
volatility will explode, narratives will flip, and conviction will be tested.
⚠️ Stay sharp. Stay liquid. Stay unemotional.
#CPIWatch #USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrumpTariffs #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BinanceBlockchainWeek