Santiment: The market isn't scared enough to call a bottom. | Xaif-Crypto on Binance Square

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Santiment: The market isn't scared enough to call a bottom.

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48.21 BTC Moved to Binance at $104K, Just 0.31 BTC at $88K—The Data Speaks During November's all-time high, long-term holders deposited 48.21 BTC into Binance between $102,000-$106,000. Every coin sold at profit—$5 million in calculated profit-taking by wallets held six months or longer. Classic smart money distribution. Then Bitcoin fell 18% to $88,000, triggering documented capital flight. Exchange reserves dropped $157 billion. USDT flows hit 4,000% volatility. Everyone assumed conviction was breaking. The data says otherwise. During December's entire decline, long-term holders sold just 0.31 BTC through Binance—99.3% less than November. Two-thirds came from loss-selling, totaling $27,700 in realized losses. That's 181 times less dollar value than November's profit-taking. December 2nd tested this conviction. Bitcoin traded at $88,906, down nearly $20,000 from peak. Long-term holders deposited exactly 0.1 BTC that day, all at loss. That's $8,900 in capitulation from wallets that survived every cycle. The selling stopped there. This reveals bottom formation mechanics. Smart money distributes at highs, then steps aside. Conviction holders refuse to capitulate despite drawdowns. Weak hands flush out—that's the $157 billion exodus. What remains is structure cleansed of leverage, held by participants unwilling to sell here. The capital flight isn't conviction breaking. It's structure resetting. Long-term holders voting with inaction at $88,000 after aggressively selling at $104,000 signals what traditional metrics miss: accumulation zones form when conviction refuses to crack.

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🚨 $XRP ETF RUMOURS SPOTTED 👀 Big names like BlackRock & Fidelity are still being talked about in the XRP ETF narrative and some are saying filings could happen anytime now! 💼🔥

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🚨 WHALE MOVE ALERT 🚨 Someone just created a brand-new wallet (4Td9FS) and withdrew $1M from #Binance 👀 💨 That capital was used to buy 3.22M $FARTCOIN Fresh wallet. Big size. No hesitation. Smart money testing risk or something big brewing? 🤔🔥

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📊 $23.6 BILLION #BTC OPTIONS EXPIRY THIS FRIDAY 🔥 One of the largest Bitcoin options expiries ever is about to hit the market 👀 🟢 Calls stacked: $100K & $120K 🔴 Puts loaded: ~$85K 🎯 Max Pain: $96K Volatility magnet engaged. Market makers will defend, traders will react, and price could get wild. Eyes on $96K this expiry could set the tone for the next major move. 🚀💥

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📊📉 ETH MARKET RESET IN PROGRESS #ETH Open Interest is down ~50% since August $ETH a massive deleveraging event. Institutions & whales have closed leveraged positions, cutting risk and speculative pressure across the board. OI by exchange: • Binance: $7.64B (31%) • Gate.io: $3.72B (15%) • HTX: $3.12B (12.65%) • Bybit: $2.53B (10.25%) • HyperLiquid: $2.51B (10.18%) • Bitget: $1.79B (7.25%) 🔎 What this means: • Strong deleverage across ETH • Lower odds of short-term explosive moves • Defensive, consolidation-style market ⚠️ But history says this matters: Deep OI resets often precede major structural moves — either a cleaner downside or a healthier reversal. The pressure is off. The next trend is loading. 👀🔥

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