🚨 BITCOIN: a possible trough in October 2026?
This is a hypothesis that deserves to be closely examined.
Since 2011, Bitcoin seems to evolve through major cycles:
historical peaks, violent corrections, and then reconstruction phases.
By analyzing past cycles, a pattern stands out:
📉 After a major peak, Bitcoin historically takes around 12 months to form its trough.
📊 The observed median between peak and trough comes out to around 370 days.
📍 By applying this model to the October 2025 peak, it would place a theoretical zone around autumn 2026.
In terms of prices, the old historical declines also show very pronounced drawdowns, sometimes exceeding -80%.
So the question is not about predicting the future with certainty.
The real question is:
👉 What if historical cycles provided an interesting observation window to anticipate the next major Bitcoin bottom?
In this analysis, I break down:
✅ the old Bitcoin peaks
✅ the historical troughs
✅ the durations between peak and trough
✅ the average losses observed
✅ a price and timing hypothesis for 2026
Understanding cycles isn’t about predicting the future.
It’s about learning to read the market’s repetitions in order to make better decisions.
⚠️ This content is in no way financial advice.
This is a personal analysis, based on historical cycles, and this hypothesis only reflects my own view.