In summary, for the next two weeks, refer to the trends of 2021, with repeated fluctuations and consolidation; do not chase the highs!
The following is the Qimen analysis made by Ai. As Ai progresses, the accuracy has also improved to some extent.
1. Qimen board for the first half of December [Official Closing Summary]
Time Range: From the solar term on December 7 to 23:00 on December 21
Closing price: 88,000
1️⃣ Review of the key points of the original board for the first half of the month
• Value Symbol: Heaven Clash
• Value Effect: Injury Gate
• Special Structure: Star Hidden + Gate Reverse
• Core Qualitative:
“There are obstacles in the clash, repeated pulling, high points are difficult to stabilize, prone to sharp rises and sharp drops.”
2️⃣ Actual trends correspond with the market
• On the 9th, rose to 94,589 → quickly fell back
• Multiple attempts to rise failed, low point probing 85,146
• The middle and late stages present wide fluctuations, weak rebounds
• Final closing 88,000, lower than starting 89,236
➡️ Conclusion:
The first half of December is a typical ‘false breakout—repeated slaughters’ structural market
Not a one-sided drop, but all rises cannot be sustained
✔️ Market logic and actual trend consistency is high
✔️ Tian Chong + injury door + door reversal → “more rush more hurt, more pull more smash”
The first half of December officially completes the market closure.
⸻
Two, second half of December odd door market [Formal market analysis]
Starting time: December 21, 2025 23:00
Starting price: 88,000
Core information of the odd door market in the second half of the month (provided by you)
• Value symbol: Tian Rui
• Value means: dead door
• Special: star reversal
• Keywords:
Illness, consume, repeat, induce long, induce short, structural reversal
⸻
Three, second half of December [Overall characterization of the market]
🔴 Overall not a one-sided market
This is a complex market of “first a rebound → then a pullback → then a recovery”
Not suitable to chase up, nor suitable for panic selling
Order of market strength and weakness
1. Short-term rebound energy: yes
2. Medium-term sustainability: weak
3. Major trend reversal: no
⸻
Four, phased trend deduction (strictly according to odd door)
[Stage One] Night of 12/21 ~ around 12/26
Characteristics: dead door + star reversal initial stage
• Dead door does not mean an immediate drop, but rather **“a pullback after the old trend ends”**
• Star reversal → prices tend to move in the opposite direction of emotions
📈 Trend judgment
• There is a rebound
• But belongs to technical, corrective rebound
📊 Range estimate
• Rebound high points: 90,500 ~ 93,000
• Increase: about +3% ~ +6%
• Does not have effective breakthrough significance
⸻
[Stage Two] 12/26 ~ 12/31
Characteristics: Tian Rui power period
• Tian Rui = illness star
• The market enters a state of “grind + consume + mutual destruction of longs and shorts”
📉 Trend judgment
• Pullback after rebound
• Will not collapse directly, but will continue to consume confidence
📊 Range estimate
• Pullback range: 86,000 ~ 89,000
• Easy to appear “false stabilization → then continue to drop”
⸻
[Stage Three] Early January (cross year)
Characteristics: dead door is completely evident
• Market direction is the weakest
• Extreme fluctuations may occur but do not continue
📉📈 Trend judgment
• May first hit low points, then pull back
• More like a “washing cycle” rather than a trending market
📊 Extreme range
• Probing potential: 83,000 ~ 85,000
• Pullback upper limit: 90,000 ~ 92,000
⸻
Five, overall conclusion for the second half of December
• Not a bull segment
• Not a one-sided bear
• It is a “turbulent + induced + consumption period”
Operational level (only from the perspective of market nature)
• ❌ Do not chase up
• ❌ Do not guess the top
• ✔️ Only extreme positions are meaningful
• ✔️ High positions must guard against star reversal inducing longs
