Henrik Zeberg slams the Federal Reserve

Over 400 PhD economists yet they miss the big picture

The US is barreling toward a major recession

A crisis their vast resources failed to see

He says sequence is everything

Understand the business cycle to predict the fall

The Fed's expectations are dangerously soft

They underestimate the coming storm's timing and fury

One signal never lies he says

The unemployment rate precedes every major collapse

November's rate hit 4.6%

A four-year high

Now brushing the Sahm Rule recession threshold

The odds now stand at roughly 40%

A recession is closing in

The Fed remains blind