Friends, I am Zitan! The BTC market is currently in a downward trend with no brakes, quite interesting. I know many people are staring at the screen, anxious: Should I chase or run? Should I hold or cut? But tonight's direction, I dare say 90% of people will bet wrong! Don't worry, let's chat like old friends and break this down clearly!

News: Don't just see the hawk, but see when the hawk flies

The hawk from the Federal Reserve who has voting rights next year stated: Inflation is not over, and interest rates need to be frozen until spring. Many retail investors panicked at once: That's it, no rate hike is a bearish sign! But this is the difference in thinking.

On the surface: This is bad news; the expectation of easing is postponed, and the market is going to fall. On a deeper level: This actually gives the market a clear roadmap! The biggest risk is uncertainty. Now it is clear that at least it will be frozen until spring, which means that in the coming months, there will not be more sudden blows macro-wise. The market fears the unknown, not the known bad news.

The true power of this message is not now, but next spring. By then, if inflation is still not down, what will the Federal Reserve look like? If it goes down, what will happen? I will technically break it down in the subsequent technical analysis. Let's continue to look ahead!

Technical aspect: It's not about whether to be bullish or bearish now, but about looking at the script.

Let's talk through the charts. On the 4-hour chart, the downward trend is clear.

Resistance and support: Above 91000 is a hard ceiling, in the middle 87600 is a springboard, below 83000 is the abyss bottom. The script is actually very clear.

MACD below the 0 axis: This confirms the advantage of bears, but don't be afraid; remember one thing: all major rallies start when MACD first turns upwards from below the 0 axis.

Current BTC downward trend + hawkish news, don't act randomly:

Long players: Don't rush to catch the bottom; wait for 83000-84000 to lightly try long, stop loss at 82500, and take profits when good.

Short sellers: Lightly short in the range of 89000-90000, stop loss at 90500, first look at 87000-87500. Will this level change temporarily? Want to know the specific entry point and where the stop loss is safest? Zitan village has already provided reminders; those who want to keep up, become villagers of Zitan!

Personal opinion:

I am clearly bullish! The short term is just a volatile washout, but the overall trend has not changed upwards. A pullback is an opportunity to make money. Key ambush range: 82000-85000. If it drops through here, it will be the starting point for the next major wave up.

In a bull market, the experts make money from trends; in a volatile market, the experts make money from fluctuations; in a bear market, the experts make money from the despair of others. Which one do you want to be? Feel free to leave your comments!

There are always opportunities in the market; the key is to operate calmly. Zitan will continue to monitor on-chain dynamics for everyone, moving steadily forward together! Follow @链上紫檀 2026 and participate in every attack by the villagers of Zitan! Zitan will announce specific entry times and real-time news every day in the village! #BTC #ETH