Summary: During the bull market frenzy, retail investors grow wildly; during the bear market wails, they are uprooted. But true hunters only pull the trigger at their designated moments.
1. The Illusion of Instant Wealth and the Bloody Reality
When Bitcoin broke $68,000, social media was flooded with screenshots of a 4000% return, and many people claimed they would 'quit their jobs to trade cryptocurrencies.' But the truth is, some made 8 million during the bull market, only to lose all their assets overnight because they didn't take profits in time, ultimately ending up as security guards.
In the crypto world, a day is like ten years in the human realm. In such a highly volatile market, 90% of liquidations stem from a 'gambler's mentality'—fantasizing about unlimited doubling when in profit, and refusing to cut losses when in the red, ultimately becoming sacrifices to leverage.
II. Three anti-human survival rules
1. Layered capital: put a 'bulletproof vest' on your assets.
Active water warehouse (10%): only for short-term volatility operations, set a daily trading limit, profits like picking up coins, losses do not hurt.
Core warehouse (60%): Focus on weekly trend, must simultaneously meet 'breakthrough previous high + increased volume + MA30 golden cross MA60' to open a position, and forcibly withdraw 50% after a profit of 30%.
Emergency warehouse (30%): Never take the initiative, only pick up bargains in batches during market bloodbath, such as when Bitcoin drops over 15% in a single day.
Case: In November 2025, when Bitcoin fell to $80,000, those who bought in batches from the emergency warehouse had hedged some losses when it rebounded to $86,000.
2. Signal filtering: only trade in the market within your cognitive range.
The biggest mistake retail investors make is treating a volatile market like a trending market. In fact, this year, in 217 trading days, Bitcoin has been in a clear trend for less than 30% of the time.
My iron rule:
When the daily level has not formed a bullish moving average arrangement (MA30 > MA60 > MA120), it is considered noise;
If the trading volume shrinks for 3 consecutive days and the price is sideways, immediately stop opening new positions;
Before each trade, ask yourself: 'Is this an opportunity or a trap? Does my win rate exceed 60%?'
3. Risk control mechanism: put an 'insurance plug' on desires.
Stop loss for a single loss ≥3%: immediately cut losses, just like amputating an infected finger;
Floating profit ≥10%: forcibly move the stop-loss line up to the cost price to ensure no losses;
Uninstall the trading software after 23:00 daily: to avoid emotional trading at night; if you stay up once, you will be banned from trading for a day.
The core of anti-humanity is to turn investment discipline into muscle memory. When others chase up due to FOMO (fear of missing out), you remain calm due to fear; when others panic and cut losses, you lurk due to greed.
III. The underlying logic of long-term survival.
The ability to trace information determines life and death.
90% of retail investors are obsessed with four-hand information (such as KOL's trades), while truly valuable first-hand information comes from academic papers, project technical documents, or compliant exchange announcements. For example, the WAX project suddenly increased its token supply by ten times, with notifications only released in English channels, resulting in heavy losses for domestic investors who failed to obtain timely information.
Liquidity is the only 'Holy Grail.'
When risk assets (Bitcoin) and safe-haven assets (gold) fall in sync, it means the market faces a liquidity crisis. At this time, cash is king, and highly liquid assets like short-term government bonds are the real safe haven.
The cyclical law of narrative reconstruction.
The essence of Bitcoin's boom and bust is narrative reconstruction: from 'digital gold' to 'institutional asset' to 'political hedging tool.' Smart investors lay out their strategies in the gaps of narrative switching, rather than chasing already fermented stories.
Conclusion: A bull market is a trap for retail investors, but a hunter's opportunity.
