Bitcoin has remained in a bear phase since Sept 2024, with slow price action focused on building liquidity rather than sharp moves.
Doctor Profit moved into BTC near $85K while keeping short hedges, aiming to sell spot if prices rally toward $97K–$107K.
Liquidity stress resembles 2008 conditions, with Fed repo tools preventing freezes now and major monetary expansion expected in 2026.
Bitcoin entered a prolonged bear market in September 2024, according to analyst Doctor Profit, who shared updated positioning this week. He said the shift was across global crypto markets and showed tightening liquidity conditions. His analysis explained why price movements slowed, how liquidity formed and why he adjusted exposure while keeping hedge positions active.
Bear Market Structure and Price Expectations
According to Doctor Profit, Bitcoin has remained in a bear phase since September, with no structural change observed. He said full bottom formation requires twelve to fourteen months, targeting the 60,000 range.
However, he expects a short-term rise toward 97,000 to 107,000 in coming weeks. He added that no major downside appears likely before February or March 2026. Notably, he described the current phase as extended sideways movement designed to build downside liquidity.
He said this process requires time and often frustrates market participants expecting faster moves. As a result, he anticipates a slow upward grind marked by repeated price exhaustion.
Positioning Strategy and Market Behavior
Doctor Profit confirmed he shifted from fully holding USDT to holding Bitcoin near 85,000. However, he kept short positions open, averaging entries near 119,000. He explained this structure allows flexibility while using shorts as a hedge.
Meanwhile, he plans to sell spot holdings if prices reach the projected range, targeting roughly twenty percent gains. He emphasized that this approach reflects market conditions rather than directional conviction. Additionally, he expects ongoing price manipulation to wear down traders over time.
Liquidity Stress and Federal Reserve Mechanics
Doctor Profit highlighted severe liquidity stress across financial markets, comparing conditions to 2008 levels. He pointed to the Federal Reserve’s Standing Repo Facility as a key stabilizing mechanism.
Under revised rules, each bank may borrow up to 240 billion daily using high-quality collateral. However, he stressed this cash must be repaid within one or two days with interest.
Therefore, he said the facility prevents sudden freezes rather than creating permanent money. He expects broader financial stress in 2026, followed by large-scale monetary expansion similar to 2020.
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