$250,000!
This is the astonishing target set by Alex Thorn, head of research at top institution Galaxy Digital, for Bitcoin by the end of 2027. However, as with all exhilarating predictions, the road to the stars and the sea is never smooth.
He also coldly points out: by the end of 2026, the probability of Bitcoin falling to $50,000 is almost as high as the probability of it rising to $250,000.
The market tells us through option prices: the path ahead is not smooth, but a fog full of divergence and unknowns.
Consensus in the fog: a huge shock is coming, what will you use to get through?
On one side is the epic long-term prediction of $250,000, on the other is the warning of a deep correction that may bring it back to $50,000 in the short term. Galaxy's report reveals the core contradictions in the current market: long-term beliefs are incredibly strong, while the short-term path is extremely unclear.
This uncertainty stems from a series of unpredictable variables such as macro policies, the U.S. elections, and capital flows. The report points out that Bitcoin's volatility is 'structurally decreasing,' becoming increasingly 'mature,' but this does not mean calm seas. On the contrary, it means that violent price swings will become the new normal.
So, the soul-searching question comes:
As an investor, what is your core task when you are certain that there are golden mountains in the distance, but you must encounter turbulent waves along the way?
Is it to bet all your assets and pray that you won't be thrown off the boat during the bumps?
Or is it to redesign your ship's structure, ensuring that no matter how great the wind and waves, you can maintain a steady course and even continuously 'catch fish' for value during the voyage?
The implied answer given by top institutions is the latter. They mentioned that part of the reason for Bitcoin's declining volatility is the popularization of 'yield-generating strategies.' This points us in the right direction: in the new cycle, simple holding (HODL) or speculation is not enough; building a base of assets that can generate continuous returns is the hardcore equipment to navigate through the fog.
Smart solutions: Use 'stability' as the boat and 'returns' as the oars.
In the face of unclear oscillation periods and potential crashes, the most dangerous strategy is 'fully waiting' or 'blindly chasing highs and cutting losses.' The wisest strategy is to allocate a portion of your assets to 'safe havens that can create certain returns regardless of bull or bear.'
This is the strategic significance of decentralized USD (Decentralized USD), such as USDD, which is fully collateralized by excessive on-chain encrypted assets.
How does it help you cope with the ultimate divergence of '250,000 or 50,000'?
Facing the potential risk of 'halving' (plummeting to 50,000): If you are worried about a short-term crash, converting some profits or principal into USDD is equivalent to putting a 'price insurance' on your assets. Its value is highly stable, allowing you to safely weather the market's winter and protect your precious principal and profits.
Coping with the long 'oscillation fog' (the boring period of 2026): Even if Bitcoin lingers between 70,000 and 150,000 for a long time, your USDD assets will not remain idle. By participating in its decentralized financial ecosystem, your stable assets can continuously generate interest income. This means that while others are anxious about stagnation and asset standstill, your positions are automatically appreciating every day, accumulating ammunition for the next explosive period.
Embracing the '250,000 USD' starry sea: When clear bull market signals appear (such as firmly standing above 100,000 USD), or when macro liquidity gates are wide open, your highly liquid USDD can instantly convert into 'bullets' for charging, accurately seizing opportunities. You have never left the market; you are just preparing for battle in a safer and more proactive way.
This is not called missing out; this is called 'steadily expanding armaments in the trenches.'
Conclusion: From predicting prices to allocating systems
The Galaxy report ultimately points out that Bitcoin is being widely accepted as an 'asset for hedging against currency devaluation.' This indicates a larger trend: the crypto market is evolving from a price speculation arena into a mature financial system capable of generating diverse returns.
True smart money is no longer entangled in the puzzle of 'will it rise or fall next year.' Their strategy is: to use a portion of their positions to chase the starry sea of Bitcoin (offensive positions), while simultaneously using another portion to allocate decentralized stable assets like USDD (defensive and yield-generating positions).
Let your offensive positions bring you infinite futures, while your defensive positions protect you and generate continuous cash flow. Whether the front plunges to 50,000 or rises to 250,000, you can respond calmly.
When the market is endlessly debating two extreme price possibilities, the most astute players are building an asset portfolio that can capitalize on both possibilities. Because true wealth lies not in predicting storms but in constructing an ark that can sail smoothly through any weather and continuously harvest.
Discussion:
Faced with the 'highly uncertain' market of 2026, how would you allocate your 'offensive positions' and 'stable yield positions'? How much of your assets would you allocate to income-generating assets that can weather bulls and bears? Share your layout ideas in the comments!
