What about the market, thoughts, ideas, plans:

Last week for BTC was in a predictable sideways mode: the scenario with micro-accumulation worked out, but an important point remained unresolved — the liquidity shelf around $92k has not been removed.

Right now we are making an attempt to pull back to this zone again, so in the coming days it makes sense to watch how the price behaves at the upper boundary of the corridor.

The macrophone added noise: inflation came out at 2.7%, which looks dissonant with some other metrics, and the market read this without euphoria — instead of a trend, we got more cautious trading and a decrease in initiative.

Against the backdrop of the holidays and thin liquidity, the baseline mode remains the same: fewer honest movements, more liquidations and stop-outs.

🔼Scenarios for BTC for the week:

Scenario A — liquidation in $90-$92k and a pullback to the lower corridor

(screenshot 1)

Idea: the price interacts with liquidity in the zone $90-$92k (up to sharp liquidation), but after that, it does not consolidate and returns to the range of $85–$90k. Inside the corridor, downward deviations with stop losses may occur.

Scenario B — breakout upwards and exit to the next liquidity shelf

(screenshot 2)

If the market accepts a price above 90k and starts to remove short stop losses above the highs, there is a chance to break out of the sluggish range and extend the movement to the next liquidity zone $96-$100k. The key condition is a consolidation, not a one-time spike with a large shadow.

Scenario C — top liquidation and return to the lows

(screenshot 3)

In terms of structure, we have already removed the lows of last week, but noticeable targets remain below: $83k / $80.6k. This is a potential scenario towards the end of the month: first, they may show strength and gather liquidity from above, and then sharply drive the price down to clean up the lower levels.

Summary for the week

It's hard to expect surprises ahead of the holidays: liquidity is lower, volatility is often choppy, plus we see fixes in ETFs and generally a more cautious risk appetite.

Therefore, the focus of the week is not on forecasts, but on the quality of movements: price spikes and sharp liquidations are possible in both directions, and we will use them if the market gives a clear reaction in the zones.

We work carefully, without over-leverage, with a pre-written plan according to the scenario, and we only take those situations where there is logic and a clear risk.

Happy upcoming holidays and productive trading week!