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$ETH 2025-12-22, the position has been reached, last night was to insert the needle to the south, now to insert the needle to the north, the stop-loss points in the horizontal range these days have all been swept, the real direction will only come next, just observe the integer levels of 3045 and 3000. If the second attempt to break through 3045 fails, go short, or if it drops below 3000 and stabilizes, go light on shorts, the stop-loss is very small with a large profit-loss ratio. If the second breakthrough of 3045 is successful and stabilizes or the second bottom test bounces at the support of 3000 is effective, then go long, with stop-loss set at 15-30 points from the resistance level, achieving nearly a 1:10 profit-loss ratio.

Long position idea: If the second breakthrough of 3045 is successful and stabilizes or drops back to 3000 to test the support effectively, go long, looking at 3100-3165-3350-3650. Set up for taking profits in batches, and if there is a failure to break through at any point with a significant pullback, withdraw and take what you can get.

Short position idea: If the second breakthrough of 3045 fails, preferably with 2-3 consecutive spikes at a 15-minute level failing to reach the top or dropping back to 3000 for a box short, looking down at 2950-2900-2850-2800-2750-2620. Similarly, set up for taking profits in batches, and if there is effective support at any point with a significant pullback, withdraw, taking what you can get. It should be noted that if it continues to go south this time, there is a high probability it will drop below 2620 to find support near 2500. 2500 is also expected to provide some relief before continuing to cascade down to 2250. If it can hold, it will enter a long-term horizontal bottoming phase, but if it cannot hold, it will have to go to 1800. The short position can use these two levels as ultimate targets.
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