#Bitcoin is closing the year under pressure 📉
A weak Q4 has clearly split the market — and volatility isn’t going anywhere.
Short term, a relief bounce is absolutely possible.
Thin liquidity below could push $BTC into the $98K–$104K zone 💥
That said, I don’t see this as the start of a new bull run.
To me, it looks much more like a classic bull trap — a bounce meant for distribution, not continuation.
Zooming out 👀
2026 is far from certain. The market is stretched between two extremes:
👉 $50K on one side
👉 $250K on the other
In my view, this isn’t confidence — it’s confusion.
Macro conditions, capital flows, and politics will matter far more than short-term technicals.
Long term?
I still believe the $250K thesis is alive 🚀
But only if:
• Institutional adoption continues to deepen
• Bitcoin keeps behaving like a macro asset, not a meme trade
If that happens, the next expansion phase will likely be slower, more structured, and harder to trade — not the chaotic pumps we’ve seen in past cycles.
My honest take:
This is a mentally exhausting phase. Fake pumps, fake breakdowns — one wrong move hurts.
But the long-term game isn’t broken. If anything, it’s just getting started.
Those who survive the noise now are the ones most likely to capture the next real cycle
