๐จ THE $BTC BOTTOM IS NOT IN YET
Every bear cycle has been shallower than the last:
2015: -87% | bottom at $152
2018: -84% | bottom at $3,100
2022: -77% | bottom at $15,500
We're currently at -53% from the $126K ATH
That's not a bottom
Trend alone says -70% = $38K
But this is the first cycle where BlackRock holds 500K+ BTC, ETF inflows exceeded $20B, and corporate treasuries don't capitulate on red weeks
Institutional demand doesn't kill bear markets, it raises the floor
Three separate signals converge at the same number:
> Death cross + 30% below MA200: $49K
> Wyckoff Spring liquidity grab: $49K
> 1,431-day cycle DCA zone center: $49K
-61% from the ATH puts the target at $49K - shallower than history suggests, deeper than what CT is currently pricing
Bears don't bottom in comfort. They bottom in fear.
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated
Every bear cycle has been shallower than the last:
2015: -87% | bottom at $152
2018: -84% | bottom at $3,100
2022: -77% | bottom at $15,500
We're currently at -53% from the $126K ATH
That's not a bottom
Trend alone says -70% = $38K
But this is the first cycle where BlackRock holds 500K+ BTC, ETF inflows exceeded $20B, and corporate treasuries don't capitulate on red weeks
Institutional demand doesn't kill bear markets, it raises the floor
Three separate signals converge at the same number:
> Death cross + 30% below MA200: $49K
> Wyckoff Spring liquidity grab: $49K
> 1,431-day cycle DCA zone center: $49K
-61% from the ATH puts the target at $49K - shallower than history suggests, deeper than what CT is currently pricing
Bears don't bottom in comfort. They bottom in fear.
Follow + notifs on, I will keep you updated