Five dates that could shape crypto’s next major move ⚠️
The next big move won’t come from hype — it’ll come from liquidity, macro data, and policy decisions. Here’s what matters heading into early 2026:
1️⃣ Dec 31, 2025 — MicroStrategy $BTC tail risk
MicroStrategy holds massive BTC. Low-probability, high-impact risk if balance-sheet pressure ever appears. Not base case — but not ignorable.
2️⃣ Jan 13, 2026 — U.S. CPI
Inflation decides rate expectations. Hot CPI = tighter liquidity = pressure on risk assets, including crypto.
3️⃣ Jan 15, 2026 — MSCI crypto treasury ruling
Potential index exclusion for crypto-heavy companies. This impacts institutional demand structure, not just price candles.
4️⃣ Jan 28, 2026 — Fed meeting
Federal Reserve guidance matters more than the rate decision. Hawkish tone = stronger dollar, capped risk upside.
5️⃣ Feb 2, 2026 — Brazil crypto regulation
Short-term friction, long-term clarity. Favors institutions, filters weak players.
Bottom line:
CPI (Jan 13) + Fed (Jan 28) = near-term volatility.
MSCI (Jan 15) = deeper structural shift.
Watch $BTC dominance (~59%).
Liquidity still decides direction. Patience > prediction.
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