#美联储回购协议计划 #比特币与黄金战争
Exploded! Traders are betting $80 million wildly: Are U.S. Treasury yields about to soar back to 4%? Is the market sentiment about to change?
Recent data shows that Wall Street is staging an astonishing bet. In just one week, the open interest of a March-expiring 10-year U.S. Treasury options contract surged by 300%, with a premium size reaching $80 million. Traders are frantically betting that the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury will quickly rebound to the 4% mark within the next few weeks!
$Binance Life
Current U.S. Treasury yields are itching to move. Earlier this month, the 10-year yield briefly touched 4.20%, hovering around 4.16% on Monday. The market nerves are taut, as investors analyze the latest economic data while closely monitoring every word from Federal Reserve officials, trying to catch any hints of interest rate cuts and their magnitude.
Meanwhile, there has been a quiet turnover in top regulatory positions. CFTC acting chair Carolyn D. Pham recently stepped down. Michael S. Celiq was officially sworn in as the 16th chair on December 22. Notably, Celiq was nominated by Trump in October 2025 to serve as chief legal advisor for the SEC's cryptocurrency working group and as a senior advisor to the SEC chair. He has long advocated for a clear regulatory framework for digital asset securities, coordinating the regulatory pace between the SEC and CFTC.
On one side, huge capital is betting on a rebound in yields, while on the other side, the regulatory body welcomes a new leader advocating for clear rules. With market volatility and policy changes hitting simultaneously, do you think this will ignite a larger market trend or usher in a new order? Leave your judgment in the comments!
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