🔥This week's global market turmoil warning! Three "nuclear bombs" are about to explode, are you ready for your positions?
The expectation for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates has dramatically changed overnight, with a new leader about to take the helm, geopolitical undercurrents are surging, and tonight's heavyweight data is bombarding in succession—the ultimate market trend by the end of 2025 might just be defined this week!
📉 The "turning storm" of the Federal Reserve is coming
1. Emergency cooling of interest rate cut expectations: Federal Reserve Governor Milan recently stated that the reasons supporting a significant rate cut are weakening, and whether aggressive rate cuts will happen next year has become uncertain. However, he also warned that if the central bank does not continue to cut rates next year, the U.S. will face the risk of economic recession. The global central bank easing cycle is nearing its end, and if the Federal Reserve acts alone, it will reshape the flow of global capital.
2. Countdown to leadership change: Trump is reported to possibly nominate a new chairperson in early January, with candidates including Haskett and Walsh. The market is most concerned not about the change itself, but about the potential erosion of the Federal Reserve's independence. Once political influence dominates monetary policy, the difficulty of extracting clear signals for the market will dramatically increase, and uncertainty itself will become the biggest source of risk.
🌍 The "resonance" between geopolitics and markets
· Russia-Ukraine situation: Although negotiations have not broken through on core issues, humanitarian exchanges have made progress. Geopolitical pressure has slightly eased in the short term, but vigilance against fluctuations is still necessary.
· Data "nuclear bomb" explodes tonight: Canada's GDP, U.S. third quarter GDP, PCE inflation, durable goods orders, consumer confidence, and other data are being released intensively, and any unexpected results could trigger violent fluctuations in asset prices.
💎 The "war" between crypto and gold
· Gold surges: Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut rates, combined with risk aversion, are driving gold prices steadily upward. Spot gold has reached $4,400 per ounce, with silver's cumulative increase this year nearing 139%.
· Crypto market divergence: Bitcoin is temporarily stabilizing above $88,000. However, affected by regulatory uncertainties, there has been a recent outflow of funds from digital asset investment products.
The ultimate showdown at the end of the year has begun. Do you think the Federal Reserve will bow to the economy or persist in fighting inflation? Will the new chairperson be Trump's "interest rate cut agent"? Leave your judgment in the comments! 👇
