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🚨 Trump will directly appoint a new Federal Reserve Chair, and the market is starting to price it in
🇺🇸 Trump is expected to directly appoint a new Federal Reserve Chair in the first week of January, succeeding Jerome Powell.
This is not just a statement of attitude,
but a clear time point that the market can price in ahead of time.
📌 Why is this information important?
Because for the market,
"changing the personnel" has long ceased to be the issue;
the real value is: when the handover will be completed.
Once the time window is confirmed, three things typically happen👇
• The monetary orientation of the new government begins to be systematically discussed
• The interest rate path for 2025–2026 enters the expectation framework
• Funding behavior often changes ahead of the official appointment
Historically, the market never waits until the official announcement day to take action.
📊 In the current context, the discussion around this point is heating up:
• Increased discussion around more flexible policy space
• Widening divergences in long-term interest rate ranges
• Frequent mentions of scenario analyses for the medium to long-term rhythm
This does not equal a conclusion,
but means—expectations are already on the way.
